Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.025592 0.027763 0.030032 0.032583 0.035371 0.038329 0.041707
2025-08-17 0.021728 0.024811 0.028217 0.032264 0.036953 0.042223 0.048612
2025-08-24 0.019071 0.022612 0.026686 0.031734 0.037840 0.045013 0.054112
2025-08-31 0.017239 0.021070 0.025626 0.031464 0.038782 0.047695 0.059437
2025-09-07 0.015808 0.019827 0.024742 0.031228 0.039610 0.050143 0.064488
2025-09-14 0.014666 0.018819 0.024026 0.031076 0.040442 0.052548 0.069531
2025-09-21 0.013607 0.017821 0.023222 0.030709 0.040902 0.054419 0.073905
2025-09-28 0.012868 0.017176 0.022814 0.030801 0.041931 0.057052 0.079417
2025-10-05 0.012119 0.016460 0.022252 0.030621 0.042538 0.059094 0.084177
2025-10-12 0.011552 0.015952 0.021927 0.030730 0.043524 0.061683 0.089838
2025-10-19 0.011045 0.015491 0.021632 0.030846 0.044499 0.064279 0.095632
2025-10-26 0.010527 0.014980 0.021232 0.030772 0.045171 0.066437 0.100862
2025-11-02 0.010135 0.014650 0.021101 0.031126 0.046565 0.069854 0.108430
2025-11-09 0.009551 0.014010 0.020484 0.030722 0.046787 0.071508 0.113357
2025-11-16 0.008987 0.013367 0.019824 0.030204 0.046786 0.072792 0.117743
2025-11-23 0.008538 0.012871 0.019354 0.029945 0.047165 0.074678 0.123223
2025-11-30 0.008133 0.012419 0.018926 0.029721 0.047571 0.076612 0.128886
2025-12-07 0.007778 0.012026 0.018566 0.029577 0.048089 0.078743 0.135008
2025-12-14 0.007403 0.011582 0.018099 0.029229 0.048235 0.080237 0.140084
2025-12-21 0.007148 0.011317 0.017904 0.029316 0.049115 0.083026 0.147658
2025-12-28 0.006857 0.010977 0.017569 0.029146 0.049532 0.085019 0.153888
2026-01-04 0.006639 0.010747 0.017402 0.029249 0.050428 0.087898 0.161960
2026-01-11 0.006435 0.010531 0.017246 0.029359 0.051333 0.090837 0.170334